Monday Night Football Picks, Predictions From NFL Model On 140-105 Roll

On Monday Night Football, Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs will take on Derek Carr and the Oakland Raiders, hoping to extend their recent dominance against the latter team. The Chiefs are currently 3-1 and have won their last three games versus the Raiders (1-3), including a 48-9 drubbing on December 12, 2021. After losing its season opener against Indianapolis by a score of 20-17, Kansas City bounced back with a 41-31 victory over Tampa Bay last week. Last week, Las Vegas beat Denver 32-23, giving them their first win of the season. Over the course of the series, the Chiefs have a 68-53-2 advantage.

The time of the first pitch is 8:15 p.m. ET from Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. Caesars Sportsbook now has Kansas City as a seven-point favorite vs. the Oakland Raiders, with a total point over/under of 51.5. Check out the NFL projections and betting recommendations from SportsLine’s Projection Model before picking the Chiefs or the Raiders.

Since its launch, the model has generated about $7,000 in profits for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks through its use of a 10,000-game simulation of the NFL season. From the 2017 season through Week 5 of the 2022 NFL season, the model has gone an astounding 140-105 on top-rated NFL picks.

The algorithm has also outperformed 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times over the past six years and placed in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch for its straight-up NFL choices. Those who have stuck with it have risen dramatically.

Currently, the model is focused on the matchup between the Raiders and the Chiefs, and it has just finished locking in its selections and Monday Night Football predictions. Those interested in viewing the model’s predictions can do so at the moment at SportsLine. The following are the current betting odds and lines for the Raiders vs. Chiefs game in the NFL:

The Chiefs’ line against the Raiders is -7.The over/under for the Raiders vs. Chiefs is 51.5 points. The money line for the match between the Raiders and the Chiefs is Raiders +270 and Chiefs -345. Two consecutive Raiders games have gone over. Seven of Kansas City’s previous eight Monday games have gone under the total, and the Chiefs are a perfect 3-0 ATS on those Predictions for the Raiders vs. Chiefs game: Check out our choices below.

In the Featured Matchup between the Chiefs and the Raiders in Kansas City

The Chiefs’ ability to hide the ball

Patrick Mahomes, the Chiefs’ quarterback, has shown no signs of slowing down, especially against the Raiders. In last week’s victory over the Buccaneers, Mahomes had a 97.7 passer rating after throwing for 249 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception. Three times out of four this year, he has thrown for 95 or more yards and two or more touchdowns. With 24 total touchdowns against the Raiders (22 passing, 2 rushing), 3 picks, and a 112.4 rating in seven career starts, he is the team’s all-time leading passer. When facing Las Vegas, he’ll be going for a perfect passer rating of 125 or above for the third game in a row without throwing an interception.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire is a key cog in the offense as a running back. He scored two touchdowns last week, one on the ground and one through the air, and his 92 yards rushing were a season high. Edwards-Helaire has 90 or more yards from scrimmage in two of the last three games and is looking for his third consecutive game with a rushing touchdown. In two career games on Monday Night Football, he has 225 yards from scrimmage (112.5 per game).

Here’s why the Raiders can hide:

However, the Chiefs are not an automatic pick to cover the point spread against the Raiders. This is due to the fact that quarterback Derek Carr and wide receiver Davante Adams form a lethal duo for the Las Vegas offense. Last week against Denver, Carr threw for 188 yards and no picks, and he also set a new season high with 40 yards on the ground. He has thrown for at least two touchdowns in three of the four games he has played so far this year. He has completed passes for 1,038 yards thus far this season, scoring six times.

Adams has a touchdown catch in three of the Raiders’ four games this season and led the team in receiving with nine receptions for 101 yards last week. He finished with six receptions on November 7, 2021, in the Green Bay Packers’ 13-7 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs. Adams will look to extend his streak of games with 115+ receiving yards in prime time to six games and to four on Monday Night Football. Adams has 26 receptions for 290 yards (11.2 average) and three touchdowns so far this season.

Tips for choosing between the Raiders and the Chiefs

Our algorithm at SportsLine favors a higher scoring game. In fact, 56 points are needed to win the game. In addition, it has produced a choice against the spread that wins money in approximately 60% of hypothetical situations. The model’s MNF predictions are exclusive to SportsLine.

Who do you think will triumph in Monday Night Football’s Chiefs vs. Raiders matchup? Which camp do roughly 60% of hypothetical customers fall into to collect their spread? To find out which side of the spread to bet on between the Chiefs and the Raiders, and to see how the advanced model that is up nearly $7,000 on its NFL picks is doing, visit SportsLine right now.

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